According to a report in the Washington Post, the Obama administration is preparing to send GM into bankruptcy next week. The plan would include an additional injection of capital that could top $30B.
Under the plan, the government would own at least 50% of GM while the UAW would control roughly 39%. The remaining stake would most likely be split by the Canadian government and GM's bondholders.
Those bondholders remain a significant hurdle, however, as they have yet to accept GM's proposed debut-to-equity offer.
Washington Post: U.S. to Steer GM Toward Bankruptcy
autonut2 says:
10:52 AM, 05/22/09
What a sad day in American history that'll be. I wonder if all the company letterhead will change from General Motors to Government Motors?
firstwagon says:
12:28 PM, 05/22/09
I'd rather that then Union Motors.
jb68902 says:
01:27 PM, 05/22/09
This is really sad. it has come to day where the US has become liberalist an socialist enough to take control of the capitalistic symbol of America: GM. As a conservative, I miss the Bush administration and even the Clinton administration.
jb68902 says:
01:28 PM, 05/22/09
... Even though Bush was an idiot who screwed the economy, Obama is 200 times worse.
blackadder5639 says:
01:49 PM, 05/22/09
jb68902 and autonut2, without the Obama administration's efforts, there probably would be no GM! GM ceasing to exist would be sadder than a (temporarily) government-controlled GM! Remember that GM voluntarily went to the government for money (and thus the inevitable government role)........Obama didn't forcibly seize GM!
If it's going to take a temporary government takeover to get GM solvent again and making great cars, I'm all for it! It's better than the "let it fail, it's capitalism" nonsense that conservatives are so nostalgic about!
gregnv says:
04:11 PM, 05/22/09
If true, it will be a sad day when the once mighty general needs the protection of a bankruptcy court to reorganize and continue business.
While many will analyze the fall of GM, it seems the writing was on the wall in the 1980s when GM under Smith put short term profit ahead of maintaining market share and long term viability. The clear attitude was that so long as profit margins were high, it didn't matter if others gained market share from GM. Cars like the Chevy Celebrity, the Cadillac Cimarron, Pontiac T1000 and an over-reliance on parts sharing helped keep cars cheap to make and also helped to destroy GMs reputation.
The lesson is that once gone, market share is hard and expensive to get back in a competitive market.
P.S. for the political types it was Dwight D. Eisenhower's Secretary of Defense that said "what was good for the country was good for General Motors and vice versa" I guess that thinking is alive today. Blaming the 4 month old Obama administration for GM's errors and trying to keep some manufacturing in the U.S. seems misplaced. There will likely be plenty of legitimate significant errors from the Obama administration to complain about, this probably isn't one of them.
flicmod says:
05:01 PM, 05/22/09
http://mises.org/story/3484
cwc1 says:
06:42 PM, 05/22/09
"While many will analyze the fall of GM, it seems the writing was on the wall in the 1980s when GM under Smith put short term profit ahead of maintaining market share and long term viability. The clear attitude was that so long as profit margins were high, it didn't matter if others gained market share from GM. Cars like the Chevy Celebrity, the Cadillac Cimarron, Pontiac T1000 and an over-reliance on parts sharing helped keep cars cheap to make and also helped to destroy GMs reputation.
The lesson is that once gone, market share is hard and expensive to get back in a competitive market."
Absolutely, I think that is when the long term damage really occurred. I remember reading an interview with Smith sometime in the middle to late '80s, and that was pretty much his philosophy when criticized on the loss of market share that accelerated under his reign. He didn't see it as a problem as long as the company was profiting well. To paraphrase, "You don't get paid on market share, you get paid on profits". He came from the financial side of GM and focused more on cost cutting than product, which restrained the "car guys" inside GM. There were still quite a few appealing products to come out of GM during that time, but the volume products which paid most of the bills were getting more and more diluted.
It was under Smith's reign that the formerly separate divisions of GM were morphed into marketing organizations or "brands", as we call them today. Before that, each division had more autonomy. They did share basic platforms, as that is the most expensive part of car design, but each had more variations and the freedom to make them their own with a unique style and image of what the division represented.
There were high hopes for his successor, Robert Stempel, an engineer who had risen through the GM structure. But so much damage had been done by that time that Stempel was barely given a chance, and was fired after just two years by an impatient board of directors who also had no long term focus. They replaced Stempel with another financial guy, Jack Smith. Later, Rick Wagoner, also from the financial side, at least had the wisdom to bring in people like Bob Lutz, who put the focus back on product. I think this was the right strategy, but GM was quickly running out of time by then, quicker than I realized.
deaconnc says:
08:20 PM, 05/22/09
cwc1 is correct. Roger Smith began the slow death of GM by de-emphasizing product/brand in favor of cost. When Buick became Oldmsobile became Cadillac became Chevrolet, GM was done. Its downfall was holding on to an outdated market segmetention model (too many divisions). Instead of focusing on Chevy, Cadillac and Buick/Olds 20 years ago when Honda and Toyota proved a basic brand plus an upscale brand were enough, GM held on to all its brands and even expanded, and that was a fundamental strategic error.
Sadly, I think the Pontiac G8 is a true winner. I hope the find a way to make a Chevy out of it. I'd buy it now.
benson2175 says:
01:56 AM, 05/23/09
I guess now they're gonna be making some nice Korean based economy cars. Good luck GM.
cargeek5 says:
10:10 AM, 05/23/09
Man, this really sucks. Well lets just hope that maybe GM can rebuild somday and be the amazing automaker it used to be. Or maybe it is time for America to start fresh and put GM in the books. But the scary thing is is that we will never know what is coming.
bgolmember says:
07:39 AM, 05/24/09
The government needs to stop giving them money. Just let them FAIL. Even in bankruptcy, GM will still fail, stop throwing away money. They should have been making quality cars to begin with. Its too late to start now. After filing bankruptcy, they will still close plants and layoff thousands of workers...lmao. GM = Goodbye Michigan. Its so cold in the D!
whateverdude says:
11:20 AM, 05/24/09
I don't think their shrinking market share is/was their biggest problem. In a way I think it was inevitable with the tremendous amount of competition that has arisen in the past 20 years, there's just no way any one manufacturer could expect to keep the majority of the American car market.
The problem is, GM has been unable to adapt to the declining market share and maintain profitability, because their fixed costs (labor and manufacturing capacity) are SO high.
Whether you blame management or the UAW, these fixed costs have been an 800 lb gorilla on their back that has driven them to do a lot of things that were not in their best long-term interest (mainly, pumping out too much product with too little quality control that has driven down their brand reputations to practically nil).
wmurrin says:
07:49 AM, 05/27/09
The reality is that GM has not been a profitable business for several years. The company was in a downward spiral for several years prior to the economic tsunami we currently find ourselves in. It doesn’t matter if they were #1 or #2 in terms of volume, they were not profitable.
At a minimum, they also suffer from a “perceived” quality gap compared with many import brands. To their credit, the company has made great improvements in this area over the past 5-10 years and they are now designing/building vehicles that are very competitive and desirable (i.e. Cadillac CTS, Pontiac G8, Cobalt SS, new Camaro). However, the “perceived” quality gap arises from consumer perceptions of poor quality cars produced 10-20 years ago. I think it will take another 5-10 years and consistent high quality vehicles to reverse this perception and win back customers.
In my opinion the unfortunate side effect of the “perceived” quality gap was poor resale and lease residual values that effectively took the company out of the leasing business before the credit crunch even hit. This eliminated them from a significant part of the market for auto sales and really kicked them where it hurts.
To their credit, the UAW/CAW unions have finally made some meaningful concessions. Now it appears the bond holders want the various governments to keep GM limping along temporarily until the auto market rebounds.
I would argue that this is not going to happen any time soon. At a minimum, it will take several years, for the auto market to rebound. Then it will take another 5 years or so for GM to develop a reputation for consistent high quality. After that, the leasing business starts to become viable again.
In my opinion, limping along with government help for the next 5 years or so until they can turn things around is not going to happen nor is it fair to the taxpayer. All parties need to take wake up and face the reality. GM needs to dramatically slash the number of brands/models they offer and focus on building cars that are profitable, desirable, and of high quality. The UAW/CAW will need to continue to take a SIGNIFICANT hit in their collective agreements so GM can build these vehicles profitably. The bond/debt holders need to realize that their money is gone and it’s not coming back. The best they can hope for is equity in GM.
I think if this were to happen all the parties involved would reap some rewards in the longer term. GM becomes a profitable company again; the CAW/UAW can restart the process of improving the wages/benefits for its membership, and the bond debt holders recoup some of their losses with the resulting improvements to GM stock prices.